Will the US confirm that aliens exist by when?

5%
December 31 1%
Volume$44.5M
WindowEnds Sep 30, 2026 ET

Loading price history…

December 31
$38.7M Vol.
Yes
1%
5%
No
1%
95%
September 30
$5.8M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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