Bitcoin markets price where BTC will trade at a stated time, whether it reaches a level by a deadline, and events such as ETF flows and treasury purchases. Price markets settle against the reference exchange or index their rules name. Daily and weekly markets resolve fast, which makes them a quick way to test a price call.
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A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading Bitcoin markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same Bitcoin questions, or browse every market in the catalog.
Every question below is a live market you can trade with simulated money.