Geopolitics markets price conflicts, ceasefires, treaties, summits and changes of leadership between and within countries. Each settles on the event its rules define, often with a named set of credible sources. The resolution text on these is long for a reason — what counts as a ceasefire or a strike is the whole question.
Loading events…
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading Geopolitics markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same Geopolitics questions, or browse every market in the catalog.
Every question below is a live market you can trade with simulated money.