Economic Policy prediction markets

Economic policy markets price tariffs, trade deals, sanctions, tax changes and other government economic decisions. Each settles on the official announcement, signed order or published rule its resolution text names. Headlines move these prices before anything is final, so read what counts as resolution before you take a side.

Loading events…

New to prediction markets?

A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading Economic Policy markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.

Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same Economic Policy questions, or browse every market in the catalog.