Trump markets price what Donald Trump says and does: executive orders, appointments, statements, meetings, legal outcomes and approval numbers. Each settles on the source its rules name, from the Federal Register to a specific poll. Announcements come fast and without warning, so these markets reprice in minutes.
Loading events…
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading Trump markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same Trump questions, or browse every market in the catalog.
Every question below is a live market you can trade with simulated money.