Iran prediction markets

Iran markets price the country's leadership, its nuclear programme, sanctions, negotiations and military events involving it. Each settles on the event its rules define and the sources they name. Read the resolution criteria closely: the precise definition of an agreement or an action is usually what decides these.

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New to prediction markets?

A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading Iran markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.

Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same Iran questions, or browse every market in the catalog.