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Every question below is a live market you can trade with play money.
Fed Decision in October?
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps 55% · there be no change in Fed interest rates 45% · $7.1M Vol.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER) 78% · New People (NL) 19% · $32.4M Vol.
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
MIBR 95% · magic 6% · $1M Vol.
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
FC Bayern München win 95% · FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union… 5% · $1.1M Vol.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen 38% · Édouard Philippe 25% · $135.8M Vol.
Bitcoin above what level on September 18?
$74,000 100% · $78,000 99% · $738.5K Vol.
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona 20% · Arsenal 14% · $35.4M Vol.
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Los Angeles Rams 13% · Buffalo Bills 12% · $56.8M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96% · Yes 4% · $42.3M Vol.
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
(LOW) $95 100% · (HIGH) $105 41% · $4M Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro 56% · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 43% · $151.2M Vol.
Putin out as President of Russia by when?
June 30, 2027 14% · December 31, 2026 5% · $23.6M Vol.
EPL: 2027 Champion
Arsenal 56% · Manchester City 31% · $16.7M Vol.
Elon Musk number of tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
200-219 97% · 180-199 2% · $1M Vol.
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Movistar KOI 65% · Natus Vincere 36% · $496.3K Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
reach $82,500 70% · reach $85,000 39% · $6.6M Vol.
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 56% · Lamine Yamal 23% · $30.8M Vol.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
SPD 51% · AfD 49% · $1.4M Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
reach $85,000 72% · reach $90,000 54% · $61.9M Vol.
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh
Harold Mayot 100% · Clement Chidekh 0% · $407.1K Vol.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Gavin Newsom 16% · $1.3B Vol.
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC
Chelsea FC win 38% · Brentford FC win 37% · $478.6K Vol.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by when?
December 31 60% · October 31 33% · $7.9M Vol.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance 51% · Marco Rubio 16% · $705.6M Vol.
Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson
Malaika Rapolu 53% · Gabriela Knutson 48% · $269.9K Vol.
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets
FC Bayern München 54% · 1. FC Union Berlin 47% · $314.8K Vol.
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
EYEBALLERS 100% · Liquid 1% · $265K Vol.
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Inner Circle Esports 100% · 3DMAX 0% · $255.9K Vol.
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER) 100% · Communist Party of the Russian… 0% · $4.1M Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 84% · Yes 17% · $66.8M Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · $706.7M Vol.
Ethereum above what level on September 18?
$2,400 100% · $2,200 100% · $365.4K Vol.
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets
Over 54% · Under 47% · $243.7K Vol.
Bengals vs. Texans
Texans 57% · Bengals 43% · $288.6K Vol.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 92% · Yes 8% · $21.7M Vol.
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Aurora Gaming 76% · NRG 25% · $197.9K Vol.
Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC
Newcastle United FC win 61% · Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC… 22% · $244.4K Vol.
Portland State vs. Oregon
Oregon 100% · Portland State 0% · $497K Vol.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by when?
December 31 19% · October 31 10% · $4.6M Vol.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot 52% · Benjamin Netanyahu 30% · $38M Vol.
Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia
Australia 100% · Zimbabwe 0% · $162.1K Vol.
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?
Up 99% · Down 1% · $162.1K Vol.
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill
Felix Gill 81% · Jay Clarke 20% · $157.8K Vol.
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC
Zhejiang Zhiye FC win 100% · Wuhan San Zhen FC win 0% · $161.4K Vol.
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
D Senate, D House 60% · R Senate, D House 31% · $12.5M Vol.
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
reach $2,600 91% · reach $2,700 55% · $2.1M Vol.
Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut 56% · Tom Gentzsch 44% · $156.1K Vol.
Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi
Pavel Kotov 100% · Rio Noguchi 0% · $143.6K Vol.
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets
Under 57% · Over 43% · $155.4K Vol.
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
Barcelona 68% · Real Madrid 28% · $6.4M Vol.
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran… 89% · next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in… 6% · $5.7M Vol.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by when?
before 2027 4% · by September 30 1% · $44.5M Vol.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by when?
March 31, 2027 65% · December 31, 2026 41% · $1.8M Vol.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by when?
December 31, 2026 27% · October 31, 2026 15% · $1.6M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 99% · Yes 1% · $9M Vol.
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Vitality 69% · FURIA 32% · $124.7K Vol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
no Fed rate cuts 95% · 1 Fed rate cut 2% · $53M Vol.
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra 95% · Steve Hilton 5% · $41.1M Vol.
Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 67% · Athletics 34% · $119.1K Vol.
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona win 83% · Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a… 12% · $205.4K Vol.
Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti
Marco Trungelliti 83% · Marco Cecchinato 18% · $114.2K Vol.
AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio
US Sassuolo Calcio win 37% · AC Monza win 35% · $147.1K Vol.
Bitcoin above what level on September 19?
$74,000 99% · $80,000 62% · $164.8K Vol.
Berlin State Election Winner
Linke 66% · CDU 28% · $4M Vol.
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Siegfried Mureșan 34% · Sorin Grindeanu 21% · $2.3M Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
reach $82,000 44% · reach $84,000 8% · $469K Vol.
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets
Over 56% · Under 45% · $105.2K Vol.
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs BBL (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
BBL 51% · EYEBALLERS 50% · $103.7K Vol.
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by when?
October 31 84% · September 30 53% · $391K Vol.
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 96% · Yes 4% · $13.5M Vol.
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
355 or more 6% · between 280 and 294 3% · $625.5K Vol.
Bitcoin price on September 18?
$80,000 and $82,000 74% · $78,000 and $80,000 22% · $106.9K Vol.
Kent State vs. Ohio State
Ohio State 100% · Kent State 0% · $97.6K Vol.
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
reach $2,750 79% · reach $3,000 57% · $13.1M Vol.
Elon Musk number of tweets September 17 - September 19, 2026?
40-64 70% · 65-89 28% · $126.8K Vol.
Saints vs. Ravens
Ravens 79% · Saints 22% · $143.1K Vol.
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit what level by December 31?
(HIGH) $1.5T 94% · (HIGH) $1.75T 84% · $4.2M Vol.
Will Xi Jinping visit US by when?
before 2027 98% · by September 30 96% · $1.3M Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro 76% · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 23% · $7.4M Vol.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through?
September 30 94% · October 31 82% · $3.8M Vol.
Crude Oil all time high by when?
December 31 12% · September 30 1% · $3.1M Vol.
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group C
ex-RUSTEC 100% · NAVI Junior 0% · $75.4K Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 94% · Yes 7% · $26.1M Vol.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by when?
December 31 6% · September 30 1% · $2.5M Vol.
"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office
between 65m and 70m 49% · at least 70m 33% · $158.1K Vol.
AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets
Over 55% · Under 46% · $80.8K Vol.
What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?
reach $2,600 63% · reach $2,700 11% · $237.8K Vol.
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win 54% · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF… 27% · $71.2K Vol.
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Petah Tikva FC - More Markets
Over 100% · Under 0% · $66.7K Vol.
AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens - More Markets
Over 60% · Under 41% · $69.7K Vol.
Giants vs. Rams
Rams 75% · Giants 26% · $128.2K Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 18?
reach $81,000 58% · reach $82,000 22% · $74.9K Vol.
Number of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
between 45 and 50 million 94% · between 40 and 45 million 4% · $240.5K Vol.
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Yellow Submarine 100% · Spirit Academy 0% · $61.7K Vol.
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic 59% · Republican 42% · $4.6M Vol.
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA 97% · Apple 3% · $2M Vol.
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC - Exact Score
1 - 1 11% · 1 - 2 9% · $60.4K Vol.
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
3DMAX 68% · Infinite 33% · $60.9K Vol.
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees 51% · Arizona Diamondbacks 50% · $58.7K Vol.
Counter-Strike: REVENIX vs Giant Pandas (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group C
REVENIX 100% · Giant Pandas 0% · $58.1K Vol.
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