Weather prediction markets

Weather markets price temperatures, rainfall and storms in specific cities and regions. Each settles on the station reading or official record its rules name, usually for a single day or month. Forecast models are public and update several times a day, so these markets move with every new run.

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New to prediction markets?

A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading Weather markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.

Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same Weather questions, or browse every market in the catalog.