AI markets price model releases, benchmark results, company valuations and funding, and the policy decisions around artificial intelligence. Each settles on the announcement, leaderboard or filing its rules name. Release dates slip and benchmarks change, so the exact wording of the question matters more here than almost anywhere else.
Loading events…
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading AI markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same AI questions, or browse every market in the catalog.
Every question below is a live market you can trade with simulated money.