Brazil Presidential Election

56%
Flávio Bolsonaro 1%
Volume$151.2M
WindowEnds Oct 3, 2026 ET

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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$11.3M Vol.
Yes
2%
43%
No
2%
57%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$10.9M Vol.
Yes
1%
56%
No
1%
44%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$14.1M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Renan Santos
$13.7M Vol.
Yes
1%
No
99%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$10.5M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Ratinho Júnior
$10.4M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$10.4M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Eduardo Leite
$8M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Ronaldo Caiado
$7.6M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Romeu Zema
$7.6M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Fernando Haddad
$7.5M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Jair Bolsonaro
$7M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Geraldo Alckmin
$6.3M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Camilo Santana
$5.6M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Augusto Cury
$5M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Aldo Rebelo
$5M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Tereza Cristina
$4M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Pablo Marçal
$4M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Helder Barbalho
$2.4M Vol.
Yes
0%
No
100%

Rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Prices and volume from Polymarket, updated live. You trade them here with play money; Papermarkets is not affiliated with Polymarket.