Every prediction market — page 25
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $33.8K Vol.
- #1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?Inde Navarrette 50% · Tom Holland 7% · $41.6K Vol.
- MT-01 House Election WinnerRepublican 66% · Democratic 34% · $53.6K Vol.
- Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No 100% · Yes 0% · $309.9K Vol.
- AZ-05 House Election WinnerRepublican 92% · Democratic 8% · $38.4K Vol.
- New Mexico Senate Election WinnerYes 97% · No 3% · $17.5K Vol.
- Illinois Senate Election WinnerDemocrats 98% · Republicans 2% · $33.9K Vol.
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic 93% · OpenAI 8% · $97.3K Vol.
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $2M Vol.
- World Cup 2030: Location of Finalanother city 47% · Madrid 38% · $252.8K Vol.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $167.5K Vol.
- Who will Trump endorse?No 98% · Yes 2% · $148.5K Vol.
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?Down 54% · Up 47% · $1.7 Vol.
- NE-02 House Election WinnerYes 92% · No 9% · $38.3K Vol.
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by when?No 84% · Yes 17% · $20.7K Vol.
- Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026at least 3.1% 91% · between 1.0% and 1.2% 3% · $96K Vol.
- Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Yes 88% · No 12% · $28.3K Vol.
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $36.1K Vol.
- Anthropic lab leak by when?June 30, 2027 11% · December 31, 2026 3% · $147.2K Vol.
- UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $24.9K Vol.
- US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No 90% · Yes 11% · $42.1K Vol.
- Abbotsford-Mission By-Election WinnerKerry-Lynne Findlay 6% · Pam Alexis 5% · $130.9K Vol.
- Macron out by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $37K Vol.
- UK election called by when?No 92% · Yes 8% · $36.7K Vol.
- NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by when?No 96% · Yes 5% · $155.1K Vol.
- Will any country leave NATO by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $403.9K Vol.
- Ukraine election held by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $238.7K Vol.
- Taylor Swift pregnant by when?No 90% · Yes 11% · $43.6K Vol.
- US x Russia military clash by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $1.1M Vol.
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by when?No 95% · Yes 6% · $688.8K Vol.
- Pump.fun airdrop by when?No 85% · Yes 16% · $195.7K Vol.
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $2.8M Vol.
- Will Israel annex any territory by when?No 92% · Yes 9% · $94.7K Vol.
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by when?No 72% · Yes 28% · $101.9K Vol.
- Will USDT market cap hit $200B by when?No 51% · Yes 49% · $150.5K Vol.
- Will Axiom launch a token by when?No 93% · Yes 8% · $181.5K Vol.
- Will Unit launch a token by when?2027 44% · 2026 3% · $35.7K Vol.
- Who will Bernie endorse?James Talarico for TX-Sen by 18% · Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by 9% · $173.4K Vol.
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by when?No 83% · Yes 17% · $62.6K Vol.
- Maryland Governor Election WinnerYes 99% · No 1% · $15K Vol.
- Minnesota Governor Election WinnerDemocrats 96% · Republicans 5% · $88.4K Vol.
- Rhode Island Governor Election WinnerYes 97% · No 3% · $57.4K Vol.
- South Dakota Governor Election WinnerNo 97% · Yes 3% · $17.7K Vol.
- Colorado Senate Election WinnerNo 98% · Yes 2% · $37K Vol.
- Delaware Senate Election WinnerNo 98% · Yes 2% · $19.6K Vol.
- Rhode Island Senate Election WinnerNo 98% · Yes 2% · $19.1K Vol.
- Oklahoma Senate Election WinnerYes 97% · No 3% · $19.8K Vol.
- India strike on Pakistan by when?No 91% · Yes 9% · $333.5K Vol.
- Consensys IPO by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $171.5K Vol.
- Will Argentina dollarize by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $19.9K Vol.
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by when?No 82% · Yes 18% · $138K Vol.
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No 96% · Yes 5% · $65.2K Vol.
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $448.2K Vol.
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by when?No 75% · Yes 25% · $69.2K Vol.
- Will Hezbollah disarm by when?No 92% · Yes 8% · $2.1M Vol.
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $218.9K Vol.
- Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?New Zealand 11% · Netherlands 10% · $762K Vol.
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No 89% · Yes 12% · $159.4K Vol.
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $553.1K Vol.
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 97% · Yes 4% · $75.1K Vol.
- US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $19.1K Vol.
- Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?No 93% · Yes 7% · $17.2K Vol.
- Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $152.2K Vol.
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $53.3K Vol.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $449.1K Vol.
- Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $34.7K Vol.
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $198.2K Vol.
- Obama arrested before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $23.1K Vol.
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $26.4K Vol.
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $186.3K Vol.
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by when?No 82% · Yes 19% · $35.7K Vol.
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No 77% · Yes 24% · $72.7K Vol.
- Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?No 94% · Yes 6% · $21.8K Vol.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $163.7K Vol.
- Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No 96% · Yes 5% · $92.3K Vol.
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $18.5K Vol.
- US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No 94% · Yes 6% · $20K Vol.
- Weed rescheduled by when?No 96% · Yes 5% · $207.7K Vol.
- How many people will Trump deport in 2026?300-400k 8% · 700-800k 1% · $57.6K Vol.
- Will Variational launch a token by when?Yes 88% · No 13% · $388.8K Vol.
- U.S. nuclear test by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $77.5K Vol.
- Russia nuclear test by when?No 94% · Yes 6% · $122K Vol.
- Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $82.6K Vol.
- Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?No 91% · Yes 10% · $23.9K Vol.
- Will Trump resign before 2027?No 98% · Yes 3% · $25.6K Vol.
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above what level?$1B 8% · $3B 8% · $333.3K Vol.
- Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $69.9K Vol.
- Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $17.5K Vol.
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $204.7K Vol.
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 94% · Yes 6% · $40.9K Vol.
- Anthropic acquired before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $30.3K Vol.
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?3.9% 2% · 3.8% 2% · $244.7K Vol.
- GDP growth in 2026between 2.0% and 2.5% 51% · greater than 2.5% 49% · $64.4K Vol.
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 88% · Yes 12% · $124.6K Vol.
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $534.4K Vol.
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $53.9K Vol.
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $213.3K Vol.
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $33.4K Vol.
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin by when?No 68% · Yes 32% · $22.7K Vol.
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No 98% · Yes 3% · $177.5K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.