Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
10%
Elon Musk
Volume$514.1K
WindowEnds Dec 31, 2026 ET
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Sam Bankman-Fried
$163.3K Vol.
Yes
2%
No
98%
Elon Musk
$69.5K Vol.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Martin Shkreli
$40.6K Vol.
Yes
2%
No
98%
Himself
$37.2K Vol.
Yes
6%
No
94%
Ryan Salame
$35.9K Vol.
Yes
▼ 1%
5%
No
▲ 1%
95%
Diddy
$36.3K Vol.
Yes
4%
No
96%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$32.2K Vol.
Yes
4%
No
96%
Derek Chauvin
$30.2K Vol.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Do Kwon
$26.5K Vol.
Yes
1%
No
99%
Keonne Rodriguez
$21.4K Vol.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Donald Brodie
$21.1K Vol.
Yes
▼ 3%
7%
No
▲ 3%
93%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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