Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by when?
38%
December 31, 2027
Volume$2.6M
WindowEnds Nov 30, 2026 ET
Loading price history…
December 31, 2026
$2.5M Vol.
Yes
2%
No
98%
March 31, 2027
$56.3K Vol.
Yes
5%
No
95%
November 30, 2026
$48.4K Vol.
Yes
1%
No
99%
December 31, 2027
$15.6K Vol.
Yes
38%
No
62%
June 30, 2027
$11.8K Vol.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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