Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by when?

28%
December 31, 2026 2%
Volume$1.7M
WindowEnds Dec 31, 2026 ET

Loading price history…

December 31, 2026
$1.6M Vol.
Yes
2%
28%
No
2%
72%
September 30, 2026
$100.7K Vol.
Yes
1%
7%
No
1%
93%
October 31, 2026
$30.1K Vol.
Yes
2%
17%
No
2%
83%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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