Every prediction market — page 14
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- Will Trump pardon anyone by when?Yes 77% · No 24% · $5.9K Vol.
- Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris FC - Exact ScoreNo 90% · Yes 11% · $517.5 Vol.
- Pro Football: AFC East ChampionBuffalo Bills 86% · New England Patriots 12% · $62.5K Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo 97% · Yes 3% · $665.9K Vol.
- Highest temperature in Beijing on November 11?No 77% · Yes 23% · $514.2 Vol.
- AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group H WinnerNo 52% · Yes 48% · $11.4K Vol.
- Hemel Hempstead Town vs. Torquay United - More MarketsUnder 62% · Over 39% · $512.6 Vol.
- Pro Football: Joe Burrow 2026-27 Regular Season Passing YardsYes 57% · No 43% · $4.9K Vol.
- GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?at least $7.50 38% · between $6.50 and $7.00 19% · $14.1K Vol.
- Moldova vs. Kazakhstan - More MarketsNo 53% · Yes 47% · $510.2 Vol.
- M15 Heraklion: Matias Reyniak vs Matthew ThomsonMatias Reyniak 57% · Matthew Thomson 43% · $509.5 Vol.
- Metamask FDV above what level one day after launch?$1B 5% · $100M 4% · $3.4M Vol.
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?No 61% · Yes 40% · $521.6 Vol.
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $1.5M Vol.
- LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)Yes 56% · No 44% · $5.2K Vol.
- Spain General Election: Guadalajara WinnerNo 91% · Yes 9% · $3K Vol.
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?4.8% 68% · 4.7% 43% · $433K Vol.
- Alabama vs. VanderbiltAlabama 87% · Vanderbilt 14% · $397 Vol.
- English Premier League Last Place Finisher (2026-27)No 69% · Yes 31% · $4K Vol.
- Will Iran target Kuwait by when?No 55% · Yes 45% · $1K Vol.
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 20261.0% and 2.0% 87% · 0% and 1.0% 13% · $58.8K Vol.
- Next ECB President?No 60% · Yes 40% · $2K Vol.
- Pro Football: Matthew Stafford 2026-27 Regular Season Passing YardsYes 63% · No 37% · $2.3K Vol.
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 11?No 51% · Yes 49% · $501.1 Vol.
- Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?No 95% · Yes 5% · $12.5K Vol.
- NCAA Football: Colorado State 2026 Win TotalYes 52% · No 49% · $3.4K Vol.
- Will Meta (META) finish week of November 9 above what level?Yes 86% · No 14% · $500 Vol.
- Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by when?December 31 12% · November 30 6% · $283.5K Vol.
- Lecornu out as French PM by when?No 89% · Yes 12% · $30.4K Vol.
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $35.3K Vol.
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in DecemberYes 95% · No 5% · $19.1K Vol.
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $2.8M Vol.
- Solana Up or Down on November 10?Down 68% · Up 33% · $448.8 Vol.
- Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?Justin Gaethje 94% · Arman Tsarukyan 3% · $756K Vol.
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No 90% · Yes 11% · $288.6K Vol.
- How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?less than 5 79% · 5-6 20% · $511.4K Vol.
- Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?Yes 91% · No 10% · $44.8K Vol.
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapOpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 97% · OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or… 1% · $2.6M Vol.
- Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit what level by December 31?25% 40% · 30% 16% · $10.7K Vol.
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $141.3K Vol.
- Which artists will release a new song in 2026?JAY-Z 43% · Nicki Minaj 27% · $34.6K Vol.
- Central Bank of Chile decision in Decembermake no change to the monetary policy… 56% · increase the monetary policy rate by… 44% · $16.5K Vol.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No 92% · Yes 8% · $45.6K Vol.
- Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?No 94% · Yes 5% · $26.6K Vol.
- Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?No 79% · Yes 22% · $23.2K Vol.
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 94% · Yes 6% · $367.9K Vol.
- Serbian presidential election called by when?Yes 98% · No 2% · $17.2K Vol.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by when?No 94% · Yes 6% · $179.9K Vol.
- Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?October 81% · November 5% · $69.8K Vol.
- Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?Ezra Frech 64% · Harry Shum Jr. 13% · $99K Vol.
- Bitcoin best month in 2026?August 92% · December 6% · $121.6K Vol.
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?No 59% · Yes 41% · $5.3K Vol.
- Spain General Election: Ceuta WinnerNo 73% · Yes 28% · $5.9K Vol.
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by when?Yes 85% · No 17% · $42.1K Vol.
- Pro Football: Brock Purdy 2026-27 Regular Season Passing YardsNo 66% · Yes 35% · $1.4K Vol.
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by when?No 91% · Yes 10% · $244.8K Vol.
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by when?No 83% · Yes 18% · $167.7K Vol.
- Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Belgium 7% · Netherlands 7% · $765.3K Vol.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by when?No 82% · Yes 19% · $34.6K Vol.
- Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No 94% · Yes 7% · $23K Vol.
- Will Pacifica launch a token by when?No 89% · Yes 11% · $37.8K Vol.
- Pacifica FDV above what level one day after launch?$50M 10% · $800M 4% · $151.5K Vol.
- Will Jumper launch a token by when?Yes 82% · No 19% · $105.7K Vol.
- Saudi airspace closed by when?No 93% · Yes 8% · $281.2K Vol.
- Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?South Korea 8% · Germany 7% · $319.7K Vol.
- Warsh out as Fed Chair by when?June 30, 2027 6% · December 31, 2026 1% · $54.9K Vol.
- Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?No 73% · Yes 27% · $5.1K Vol.
- Bundesliga: 2027 ChampionBayern Munich 88% · Borussia Dortmund 7% · $1.5M Vol.
- Pro Football: Panthers 2026 Win TotalNo 81% · Yes 20% · $14.5K Vol.
- North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by when?December 31, 2028 33% · December 31, 2027 20% · $348.4K Vol.
- Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?not meet by December 31, 2027 76% · meet next in Germany 1% · $110.2K Vol.
- UEFA Champions League: League Phase WinnerParis Saint-Germain 50% · Real Madrid 28% · $45.2K Vol.
- Which bills will become law in 2026?No 91% · Yes 9% · $119.5K Vol.
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above what level on November 10?$750 63% · $755 42% · $379 Vol.
- Victoria Parliamentary Election WinnerLiberal–National 95% · Labor 5% · $32.9K Vol.
- Bank of Korea decision in November?hike by 25 bps 97% · hold 2% · $41.1K Vol.
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?between 14 and 16 67% · between 17 and 19 27% · $1M Vol.
- 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $120.8K Vol.
- Pro Football: NFC East ChampionNew York Giants 61% · Dallas Cowboys 28% · $329.9K Vol.
- Brazil Série A: WinnerYes 80% · No 21% · $15.9K Vol.
- Spain General Election: Podemos number of seats?Yes 52% · No 49% · $14.7K Vol.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?No 87% · Yes 14% · $48.2K Vol.
- Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing YardsNo 73% · Yes 27% · $9.1K Vol.
- US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by when?March 31, 2027 18% · December 31, 2026 4% · $57.8K Vol.
- Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Mark Rutte 53% · Ursula von der Leyen 36% · $536.6K Vol.
- GPU rental prices (H200) end of December 2026?Yes 57% · No 43% · $1.4K Vol.
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by when?No 91% · Yes 9% · $172K Vol.
- US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by when?No 67% · Yes 34% · $45.5K Vol.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $2.6M Vol.
- Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?Yes 68% · No 22% · $6.3K Vol.
- Top US Spotify Artist 2026Drake 89% · Taylor Swift 6% · $158.6K Vol.
- Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by when?No 76% · Yes 25% · $6.2K Vol.
- Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?No 81% · Yes 19% · $38.8K Vol.
- Cambria listed on what level within 30 days of TGE?No 94% · Yes 6% · $16.6K Vol.
- Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $118.9K Vol.
- Israeli Knesset election annulled?No 98% · Yes 2% · $157.6K Vol.
- SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?between $1.50T and $1.75T 24% · less than $1.50T 11% · $10.3K Vol.
- Best AI model on November 16?Yes 80% · No 19% · $3.1K Vol.
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?45% 46% · 50% 34% · $172.3K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling WinnerYes 54% · No 46% · $21K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.