Every prediction market — page 15
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?45% 52% · 50% 32% · $171.8K Vol.
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by when?No 84% · Yes 16% · $167.3K Vol.
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?4.8% 71% · 4.7% 44% · $432.5K Vol.
- Houthis enter Aden by when?December 31 14% · November 30 5% · $316.7K Vol.
- Will Perena launch a token by when?No 94% · Yes 7% · $36K Vol.
- US military action against Cuba by when?No 89% · Yes 12% · $5.5M Vol.
- NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $21.6K Vol.
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No 81% · Yes 19% · $73.2K Vol.
- Will Jumper launch a token by when?Yes 82% · No 18% · $105.2K Vol.
- Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?1440 38% · 1450 27% · $66K Vol.
- Swiss National Bank decision in December?make no change to the SNB policy rate 89% · increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps 6% · $55.9K Vol.
- How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?6 87% · 7 8% · $56.9K Vol.
- Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?No 66% · Yes 36% · $19.4K Vol.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?No 80% · Yes 21% · $122.1K Vol.
- UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16Liverpool 84% · Como 71% · $52.2K Vol.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $18.9M Vol.
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $684.4K Vol.
- NYC Mayor number of posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?Yes 94% · No 6% · $3.8K Vol.
- The Game Awards: Best MultiplayerDeadlock 10% · Marathon 8% · $46.9K Vol.
- What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?dip to $0.06 51% · reach $0.16 6% · $64.8K Vol.
- Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?No 94% · Yes 6% · $145.4K Vol.
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by when?Yes 77% · No 23% · $129.8K Vol.
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.70% 9% · 5.80% 6% · $204.1K Vol.
- Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)Como 63% · Lazio 47% · $17.5K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations"Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk 51% · "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 32% · $47.4K Vol.
- Base FDV above what level one day after launch?$1B 40% · $2B 38% · $895K Vol.
- Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $76.3K Vol.
- US strike on Mexico by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $774.8K Vol.
- Andrew Tate released from custody by when?No 96% · Yes 5% · $130.5K Vol.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by when?No 93% · Yes 7% · $179.4K Vol.
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 72% · No 28% · $219.7K Vol.
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?5.20% 72% · 5.15% 56% · $263K Vol.
- 2028 Presidential Election: Georgia WinnerNo 70% · Yes 30% · $2.1K Vol.
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No 99% · Yes 1% · $402.6K Vol.
- MLB: NL Rookie of the YearSal Stewart 99% · Carson Benge 1% · $210.4K Vol.
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?No 98% · Yes 3% · $68.1K Vol.
- First to list tokenized stocks in the US?Robinhood be first to list tokenized… 33% · none of the listed platforms list… 24% · $106.6K Vol.
- Will Russia enter Bilozerske by when?No 72% · Yes 28% · $18.4K Vol.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 92% · Yes 9% · $3.7M Vol.
- Largest private company end of November?Anthropic 97% · OpenAI 3% · $28.2K Vol.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $2.8M Vol.
- Pro Football: Tyreek Hill Next TeamKansas City Chiefs 26% · Minnesota Vikings 3% · $57.4K Vol.
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $306.7K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Actor WinnerJohn Malkovich 48% · Andrew Scott 20% · $147.5K Vol.
- CMA New Artist of the Year 2026No 77% · Yes 36% · $14.3K Vol.
- What will Constellation Energy say during their next earnings call?Constellation Energy say "Power" 5+… 95% · Constellation Energy say "PJM" during… 94% · $560.5 Vol.
- NCAA Football: Conference of Heisman WinnerNo 69% · Yes 31% · $9.1K Vol.
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CXMT 20% · Unitree 18% · $717K Vol.
- Will Reya launch a token by when?2027 85% · 2026 14% · $48.3K Vol.
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $70K Vol.
- #3 Spotify Artist 2026Yes 81% · No 20% · $22.9K Vol.
- Ink FDV above what level one day after launch?$100M 14% · $250M 11% · $1.1M Vol.
- Will Man City be relegated from the EPL in 2026-27?No 57% · Yes 43% · $63.3K Vol.
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?by June 30, 2027 34% · by... 10% · $142.5K Vol.
- Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by when?No 92% · Yes 8% · $56.7K Vol.
- Will Extended launch a token by when?Yes 94% · No 6% · $168.9K Vol.
- Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?No 67% · Yes 33% · $19.2K Vol.
- Miss Universe 2026 Winner?No 84% · Yes 17% · $3.4K Vol.
- Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?1.00 to 2.99 ft 72% · 1.00 to 0.99 ft 28% · $109.6K Vol.
- ECB Interest Rates: December 2026a 25 bps increase 85% · no change 14% · $48.9K Vol.
- Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?OpenAI 11% · Meta 11% · $118.4K Vol.
- Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026?No 54% · Yes 46% · $3.3K Vol.
- Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No 73% · Yes 27% · $64.9K Vol.
- Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?Yes 64% · No 36% · $24.7K Vol.
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $509.6K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film WinnerYes 83% · No 17% · $31.4K Vol.
- NYC Mayor number of posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?Yes 97% · No 1% · $6.6K Vol.
- Will Unit launch a token by when?2027 41% · 2026 2% · $37K Vol.
- Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No 99% · Yes 1% · $266.2K Vol.
- Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?No 86% · Yes 14% · $16.2K Vol.
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by when?Yes 71% · No 29% · $41.5K Vol.
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Mark Warner 5% · Lisa Blunt Rochester 4% · $494.5K Vol.
- Will CoreWeave (CRWV) beat quarterly earnings?No 86% · Yes 14% · $486.5 Vol.
- Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by when?No 78% · Yes 24% · $65.8K Vol.
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 93% · Yes 8% · $294.5K Vol.
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes 69% · No 32% · $132.2K Vol.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit what level by December 31?(HIGH) $1.5T 25% · (LOW) $800B 8% · $953.6K Vol.
- Will Tempo launch a token by when?2027 19% · 2026 1% · $202.5K Vol.
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?(LOW) $730 84% · (LOW) $700 38% · $19.9K Vol.
- US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by when?No 60% · Yes 41% · $45.1K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations"You Can See Everything" 72% · "Nuisance Bear" 41% · $49K Vol.
- Pakistan military action against Yemen by when?No 83% · Yes 18% · $27.4K Vol.
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 100% · No 0% · $365.5K Vol.
- Taoyuan Mayor Election WinnerChang San-cheng 93% · Huang Shih-chieh 8% · $52.3K Vol.
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by when?2027 65% · 2026 4% · $93.9K Vol.
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No 96% · Yes 4% · $213.9K Vol.
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026between 4.0% and 5.0% 96% · between 5.0% and 6.0% 2% · $945.4K Vol.
- ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10Yes 81% · No 20% · $8.3K Vol.
- Bank of Brazil decision in December?make no change to the target for the… 89% · decrease the target for the Selic rate… 6% · $42.3K Vol.
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?upper bound reach 4.25% or higher 76% · lower bound reach 0.25% or lower 2% · $1.9M Vol.
- Will 3Jane launch a token by when?June 30, 2027 66% · December 31, 2026 28% · $48.9K Vol.
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No 96% · Yes 4% · $578.5K Vol.
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No 92% · Yes 9% · $237.8K Vol.
- Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?not meet by December 31, 2027 77% · meet next in Germany 1% · $109.8K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Director NominationsYes 61% · No 39% · $5.9K Vol.
- NHL Hart Memorial Trophy WinnerYes 78% · No 24% · $21K Vol.
- Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez be the 96% · María Corina Machado be the 1% · $367.4K Vol.
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0 more Millennium Prize Problems 87% · 1 more Millennium Prize Problem 10% · $476.8K Vol.
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by when?No 85% · Yes 16% · $168.9K Vol.
- Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?Yes 90% · No 11% · $43.4K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.