Every prediction market — page 17
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- What will Cisco say during their next earnings call?Cisco say "Revenue" 5+ times during… 96% · Cisco say "Infrastructure" during… 93% · $177.6 Vol.
- NCAA Football 2026 Big 12 Conference: WinnerNo 82% · Yes 19% · $16.5K Vol.
- Will Neuralink’s valuation hit what level by December 31?(LOW) $35B 7% · (HIGH) $100B 3% · $51.1K Vol.
- Macron out by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $128.4K Vol.
- Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats?No 83% · Yes 18% · $4.9K Vol.
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 92% · Yes 9% · $587.3K Vol.
- What will gas hit by end of November?No 94% · Yes 14% · $4.6K Vol.
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by when?No 92% · Yes 8% · $28.5K Vol.
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapOpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or… 34% · OpenAI not IPO 28% · $699K Vol.
- What will CoreWeave say during their next earnings call?CoreWeave say "Quarter" 10+ times… 96% · CoreWeave say "Customer" 30+ times… 95% · $879.1 Vol.
- Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing YardsNo 75% · Yes 25% · $8.6K Vol.
- Spain General Election: Santa Cruz de Tenerife WinnerNo 69% · Yes 30% · $4.4K Vol.
- GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price$70 99% · $80 3% · $81.6K Vol.
- US x China Military clash before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $223K Vol.
- Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No 98% · Yes 2% · $136.1K Vol.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by when?No 91% · Yes 9% · $337.8K Vol.
- How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?8 77% · 9 7% · $965.4K Vol.
- MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron WinnerPete Crow-Armstrong 99% · Kyle Schwarber 0% · $133.8K Vol.
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $468.5K Vol.
- Next Prime Minister of Italy?Giorgia Meloni 50% · Giuseppe Conte 23% · $64.5K Vol.
- Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by when?No 93% · Yes 7% · $22.8K Vol.
- China x India military clash by when?No 95% · Yes 6% · $232.8K Vol.
- AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth?No 78% · Yes 23% · $9.1K Vol.
- Will any AI model reach what level Coding Arena Score by December 31?1580 56% · 1600 11% · $121K Vol.
- How many SpaceX launches in 2026?between 140-159 77% · between 180-199 4% · $324.8K Vol.
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No 95% · Yes 5% · $17.9K Vol.
- Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $199.3K Vol.
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $54.6K Vol.
- Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?no company 54% · Google be the first company to 32% · $86.6K Vol.
- ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1Alexander Zverev 99% · Jannik Sinner 1% · $77.4K Vol.
- India strike on Pakistan by when?No 92% · Yes 9% · $348.8K Vol.
- Perena FDV above what level one day after launch?No 67% · Yes 32% · $24.3K Vol.
- Will USD/JPY hit what level in 2026?No 100% · Yes 0% · $18.5K Vol.
- Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?Yes 96% · No 4% · $13.8K Vol.
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above what level?$1T 72% · $800B 72% · $1.6M Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay WinnerYes 61% · No 39% · $31.3K Vol.
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?40% 14% · 45% 14% · $129.4K Vol.
- Bank of Mexico Decision in December?No 94% · Yes 7% · $6.8K Vol.
- UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quartersReal Madrid 80% · Fenerbahçe 12% · $21.5K Vol.
- Swiss National Bank Decision in June?No 84% · Yes 16% · $12.2K Vol.
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $801.1K Vol.
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?No 59% · Yes 41% · $4.9K Vol.
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 98% · Yes 3% · $779.1K Vol.
- Who will Trump publicly praise by November 30?Flávio Bolsonaro 28% · Nicki Minaj 16% · $6.3K Vol.
- Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?No 51% · Yes 50% · $21.7K Vol.
- Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the YearMobile Legends: Bang Bang 60% · PUBG Mobile 36% · $41.8K Vol.
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?Yes 59% · No 41% · $9.3K Vol.
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No 84% · Yes 17% · $122.6K Vol.
- Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?No 89% · Yes 11% · $99.9K Vol.
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 90% · No 11% · $910.3K Vol.
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above what level?No 72% · Yes 28% · $16.3K Vol.
- Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $118.6K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling WinnerNo 56% · Yes 44% · $19K Vol.
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026between 2.6% and 2.8% 30% · at least 3.0% 6% · $47.6K Vol.
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?No 83% · Yes 18% · $7.9K Vol.
- #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?Obsession 41% · Odyssey 40% · $220.2K Vol.
- "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Officeat least 105m 77% · less than 65m 2% · $40.8K Vol.
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by when?No 92% · Yes 9% · $244.2K Vol.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 95% · Yes 6% · $526.7K Vol.
- Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional RoundYes 74% · No 28% · $3.6K Vol.
- Will Abstract launch a token by when?2027 5% · 2026 2% · $442.3K Vol.
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $43.6K Vol.
- Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)Pause-Hike-Pause 72% · Pause-Pause-Hike 15% · $157.1K Vol.
- Kimi K4 released by when?No 89% · Yes 11% · $23.8K Vol.
- FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $59.4K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Director WinnerYes 62% · No 39% · $28.3K Vol.
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?4 81% · 5 11% · $5.7M Vol.
- Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)No 60% · Yes 41% · $17.8K Vol.
- Will Papertrade launch a token by when?September 30, 2027 31% · June 30, 2027 27% · $162.3K Vol.
- Will Hibachi launch a token by when?Yes 53% · No 48% · $277.3K Vol.
- Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?JetBlue 6% · Frontier Airlines 5% · $173.7K Vol.
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?less than $3.50T 51% · between $4.00T and $4.50T 12% · $25.3K Vol.
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 98% · Yes 3% · $624.7K Vol.
- Will Surf launch a token by when?No 78% · Yes 22% · $19.4K Vol.
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $47.1K Vol.
- Will Cerebras Systems (CBRS) beat quarterly earnings?No 87% · Yes 14% · $3.6K Vol.
- Will Tesla release Optimus by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $60.9K Vol.
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No 88% · Yes 12% · $34.8K Vol.
- Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by when?No 75% · Yes 26% · $29.1K Vol.
- Turner Prize 2026 WinnerSimeon Barclay 35% · Kira Freije 30% · $58.7K Vol.
- Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by when?No 86% · Yes 14% · $17.4K Vol.
- Ukraine election called by when?No 93% · Yes 7% · $112K Vol.
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $262.5K Vol.
- Canada Annual Inflation 20263.0% and 3.4% 41% · 2.5% and 2.9% 16% · $63.1K Vol.
- Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?Justin Gaethje 96% · Arman Tsarukyan 4% · $750.9K Vol.
- Aguascalientes Governor Election WinnerYes 62% · No 39% · $16.5K Vol.
- Spain General Election: Vox % of vote?No 93% · Yes 7% · $6.9K Vol.
- Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?Yes 94% · No 6% · $5.9K Vol.
- Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?October 90% · November 5% · $69.4K Vol.
- Trump declares a national emergency by when?No 86% · Yes 14% · $3.1K Vol.
- Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $39.6K Vol.
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2027Raphinha 14% · Michael Olise 10% · $4.4K Vol.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by when?2027 32% · 2026 2% · $395.7K Vol.
- Taylor Swift pregnant by when?No 89% · Yes 12% · $46.4K Vol.
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No 90% · Yes 10% · $208.1K Vol.
- Ilhan Omar arrested by when?No 87% · Yes 14% · $69.7K Vol.
- Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?55% 78% · 60% 24% · $127.7K Vol.
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $295.7K Vol.
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?Yes 64% · No 36% · $12.5K Vol.
- Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?No 56% · Yes 44% · $12.1K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.