Every prediction market — page 18
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2027Raphinha 14% · Michael Olise 10% · $4.4K Vol.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by when?2027 32% · 2026 2% · $395.7K Vol.
- Taylor Swift pregnant by when?No 89% · Yes 12% · $46.4K Vol.
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No 90% · Yes 10% · $208.1K Vol.
- Ilhan Omar arrested by when?No 87% · Yes 14% · $69.7K Vol.
- UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quartersRennes 32% · TSG Hoffenheim 24% · $6.5K Vol.
- Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?55% 78% · 60% 24% · $127.7K Vol.
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $295.7K Vol.
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?Yes 64% · No 36% · $12.5K Vol.
- Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?No 56% · Yes 44% · $12.1K Vol.
- Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $34.1K Vol.
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $143.3K Vol.
- Which companies will the US take a stake in?Anduril Industries, Inc. 7% · Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing… 7% · $97.4K Vol.
- KOSPI all-time high before 2028?No 78% · Yes 23% · $56K Vol.
- Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerNo 56% · Yes 44% · $18.5K Vol.
- Will Drake release a new album by when?No 93% · Yes 7% · $47.7K Vol.
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $297.9K Vol.
- Will Opensea launch a token by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $231.7K Vol.
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 2nd PlaceParis Saint-Germain 19% · Bayern Munich 11% · $6.7K Vol.
- Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Yes 93% · No 7% · $82.2K Vol.
- English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27Yes 76% · No 25% · $21.6K Vol.
- France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?No 92% · Yes 8% · $20.1K Vol.
- Mexico Legislative Election WinnerRegeneration Movement (Morena) 89% · Action Party (PAN) 5% · $81.8K Vol.
- MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to 2027 World SeriesNo 68% · Yes 32% · $1.3K Vol.
- US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No 82% · Yes 18% · $44.8K Vol.
- NBA: Steph Curry Next TeamYes 97% · No 4% · $27.1K Vol.
- UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League PhaseInter Milan 75% · Porto 61% · $9.8K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film WinnerNo 85% · Yes 16% · $7.6K Vol.
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $1.8M Vol.
- Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Yes 76% · No 24% · $21K Vol.
- Abbotsford-Mission By-Election WinnerKerry-Lynne Findlay 4% · Pam Alexis 4% · $137.7K Vol.
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?20 to 34 73% · 35 to 49 27% · $81.9K Vol.
- Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 92% · No 9% · $478 Vol.
- US recession by end of 2027?No 68% · Yes 32% · $19.8K Vol.
- Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026S&P 500 88% · Gold 8% · $997.8K Vol.
- F1: Action of the YearKimi Antonelli 14% · Oliver Bearman 1% · $175.3K Vol.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by when?No 83% · Yes 18% · $34.1K Vol.
- #1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?Dolly Parton 60% · Hayden Panettiere 17% · $122.4K Vol.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% · Yes 12% · $354.6K Vol.
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Andy Jassy out as Amazon 6% · Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase 5% · $305.6K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film WinnerNo 67% · Yes 33% · $9.7K Vol.
- Central Bank of Chile decision in Decembermake no change to the monetary policy… 54% · increase the monetary policy rate by… 43% · $16K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography WinnerYes 53% · No 48% · $15.9K Vol.
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes 54% · No 47% · $26.9K Vol.
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $66.3K Vol.
- Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?Sean Strickland 94% · Caio Borralho 0% · $1M Vol.
- GTA VI released by when?Yes 99% · No 2% · $132.6K Vol.
- Will Decibel launch a token by when?Yes 56% · No 44% · $23.3K Vol.
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $100.9K Vol.
- Will QFEX launch a token by when?September 30, 2027 43% · December 31, 2026 2% · $32.7K Vol.
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by when?2029 32% · 2028 20% · $304.4K Vol.
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $71.1K Vol.
- NCAA Tournament 2027: Team to advance to the Final FourUSC 13% · Missouri 7% · $3.9K Vol.
- The Game Awards: Best Mobile GameNo 61% · Yes 40% · $27.6K Vol.
- Bank of Japan Decision in December?Bank of Japan increases interest rates… 75% · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest… 23% · $31.6K Vol.
- EU dissolves before 2027?No 99% · Yes 2% · $190.6K Vol.
- When will Bitcoin hit $150k?September 30, 2027 15% · December 31, 2026 1% · $2.9M Vol.
- What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?(HIGH) $58 45% · (LOW) $46 34% · $59.4K Vol.
- Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?No 99% · Yes 1% · $28.9K Vol.
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No 88% · Yes 12% · $34.8K Vol.
- Jumper FDV one day after launch?Yes 73% · No 28% · $21.2K Vol.
- Will Apyx launch a token by when?September 30, 2027 79% · December 31, 2026 19% · $50.5K Vol.
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No 90% · Yes 10% · $62.7K Vol.
- Iran coup attempt by when?2027 27% · 2026 7% · $381.8K Vol.
- #1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?Alysa Liu 19% · Lionel Messi 8% · $56.9K Vol.
- Will Phantom launch a token by when?2027 21% · 2026 5% · $66.9K Vol.
- AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group B WinnerNo 94% · Yes 6% · $18.4K Vol.
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $281.3K Vol.
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?between 14 and 16 64% · between 17 and 19 33% · $1M Vol.
- Houthi military action against Israel by when?No 84% · Yes 17% · $85.5K Vol.
- Will US withdraw from NATO by when?No 99% · Yes 1% · $1.4M Vol.
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 98% · Yes 2% · $599.1K Vol.
- Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk 96% · Bernard Arnault 1% · $2M Vol.
- MLB: 2026 AL MVPYordan Alvarez 99% · Bobby Witt Jr. 0% · $82.4K Vol.
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No 94% · Yes 6% · $263.9K Vol.
- Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by when?No 92% · Yes 8% · $73.9K Vol.
- UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B4 WinnerYes 73% · No 27% · $26.3K Vol.
- Will the next elected US president be a woman?No 77% · Yes 24% · $17.1K Vol.
- How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?12-15 75% · 16-19 18% · $210.9K Vol.
- AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group D WinnerNo 96% · Yes 5% · $25.5K Vol.
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No 98% · Yes 2% · $24.7K Vol.
- NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved PlayerNo 62% · Yes 39% · $5.7K Vol.
- Miaoli County Magistrate Election WinnerYes 94% · No 6% · $33.2K Vol.
- SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?No 94% · Yes 7% · $52.9K Vol.
- Felix FDV above what level one day after launch?$25M 6% · $100M 5% · $395.8K Vol.
- HUDL FDV above what level one day after launch?Huddle FDV above $10M one day after… 8% · Huddle FDV above $100M one day after… 6% · $38.4K Vol.
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by when?No 86% · Yes 14% · $15.3K Vol.
- Cape Verde Presidential Election WinnerYes 95% · No 5% · $27.5K Vol.
- Victoria Parliamentary Election WinnerLiberal–National 94% · Labor 5% · $32.1K Vol.
- General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth?No 79% · Yes 21% · $10.1K Vol.
- Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?55% 94% · 60% 48% · $40.2K Vol.
- Pro Football: NFC West ChampionSan Francisco 49ers 78% · Seattle Seahawks 13% · $55K Vol.
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher… 47% · exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher… 46% · $1.2M Vol.
- Makina FDV above what level one day after launch?No 95% · Yes 5% · $17.4K Vol.
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?4.25% 75% · 4.0% 23% · $7.1M Vol.
- Will Hylo launch a token by when?Yes 54% · No 46% · $24.4K Vol.
- Ethereal FDV above what level one day after launch?No 58% · Yes 42% · $35.6K Vol.
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by when?Yes 81% · No 19% · $60.1K Vol.
- Ventuals FDV above what level one day after launch?$300M 3% · $100M 2% · $51.5K Vol.
- Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?No 51% · Yes 50% · $25.8K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.