Every prediction market — page 19
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by when?December 31 32% · November 30 12% · $93.1K Vol.
- Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by when?No 93% · Yes 7% · $29.2K Vol.
- Papertrade FDV above what level one day after launch?$25M 46% · $100M 39% · $435.3K Vol.
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 94% · Yes 6% · $247.6K Vol.
- The Game Awards: Best Game DirectionYes 72% · No 28% · $36.2K Vol.
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?No 98% · Yes 2% · $42.8K Vol.
- Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?No 97% · Yes 3% · $321.3K Vol.
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $190.1K Vol.
- Which bills will become law in 2026?No 90% · Yes 10% · $119.2K Vol.
- Grammys 2027: Best New Artist WinnerYes 66% · No 35% · $17.9K Vol.
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 99% · Yes 1% · $52.6K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations"Whalefall" 21% · "Digger" 5% · $18K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film NominationsNo 89% · Yes 12% · $14.8K Vol.
- UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next?No 66% · Yes 35% · $19.3K Vol.
- Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by when?No 89% · Yes 11% · $16.4K Vol.
- Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by when?Yes 79% · No 21% · $17.1K Vol.
- Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?No 82% · Yes 18% · $12.5K Vol.
- Will Alberta join the US?No 98% · Yes 2% · $2.2M Vol.
- The Game Awards: Best NarrativeYes 53% · No 47% · $17.2K Vol.
- North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by when?December 31, 2028 33% · December 31, 2027 20% · $348K Vol.
- US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No 94% · Yes 6% · $20.6K Vol.
- Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No 94% · Yes 6% · $22K Vol.
- Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $118.9K Vol.
- Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?No 79% · Yes 21% · $6.4K Vol.
- Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?Yes 92% · No 9% · $28.7K Vol.
- Clavicular sentenced to prison by when?No 94% · Yes 6% · $98.5K Vol.
- Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No 56% · Yes 44% · $63.7K Vol.
- Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $90K Vol.
- Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No 91% · Yes 9% · $77.7K Vol.
- Bank of Brazil Decision in March?Yes 57% · No 43% · $6.4K Vol.
- Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $156.8K Vol.
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $186.2K Vol.
- OpenAI IPO by when?No 99% · Yes 2% · $1.1M Vol.
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $20.8K Vol.
- XRP all time high by when?No 99% · Yes 1% · $23.7K Vol.
- Next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes 69% · No 32% · $27.3K Vol.
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by when?2027 68% · 2026 12% · $397.1K Vol.
- Solana Up or Down on November 9?Down 51% · Up 49% · $9.7 Vol.
- Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,000 64% · $1,000 37% · $120.6K Vol.
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $129.2K Vol.
- Will Israel annex any territory by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $99.1K Vol.
- Bank of Russia decision in December?Yes 80% · No 20% · $15.8K Vol.
- Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?Dong Jun 4% · Li Xi 3% · $241.1K Vol.
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 9?Down 54% · Up 47% · $84.5 Vol.
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No 80% · Yes 20% · $74.2K Vol.
- Nuevo León Governor Election WinnerNo 80% · Yes 20% · $18.5K Vol.
- CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by when?2029 30% · 2028 21% · $398.1K Vol.
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No 89% · Yes 11% · $288.1K Vol.
- How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?Yes 50% · No 50% · $23.8K Vol.
- Will Canva’s valuation hit what level by December 31?No 98% · Yes 2% · $16.6K Vol.
- Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winneryou seem pretty sad for a girl so in… 47% · Lux (Rosalía) 19% · $104K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress NominationsAmanda Seyfried 60% · Olivia Colman 33% · $57.6K Vol.
- UK election called by when?No 96% · Yes 5% · $49.8K Vol.
- Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency?Democrats sweep the House and Senate… 61% · Democrats sweep the House and Senate… 36% · $11K Vol.
- Will Anduril's valuation hit what level by December 31?No 97% · Yes 3% · $24K Vol.
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?exactly 8 56% · exactly 7 35% · $186.4K Vol.
- MLB: AL Rookie of the YearKevin McGonigle 98% · Payton Tolle 0% · $272K Vol.
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No 92% · Yes 8% · $153.6K Vol.
- Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14No 99% · Yes 1% · $8.4K Vol.
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 99% · Yes 1% · $2M Vol.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $489.1K Vol.
- Unit FDV above what level one day after launch?$200M 44% · $400M 26% · $231.2K Vol.
- Will Kraken's valuation hit what level by December 31?$15B 8% · $20B 5% · $116.6K Vol.
- Will Propr launch a token by when?June 30, 2027 33% · December 31, 2026 21% · $97.9K Vol.
- The Game Awards: Best Audio DesignYes 53% · No 47% · $15.3K Vol.
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?Yes 76% · No 25% · $20.1K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film NominationsNo 56% · Yes 44% · $6K Vol.
- CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar - More MarketsUnder 63% · Over 38% · $41.1K Vol.
- Bank of Canada Decision in January?Yes 52% · No 49% · $9.5K Vol.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above what level end of November?$200 29% · $210 23% · $51.9K Vol.
- Will Glean's valuation hit what level by December 31?No 62% · Yes 38% · $16.3K Vol.
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $126.4K Vol.
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by when?2028 22% · 2027 12% · $498.6K Vol.
- Gwen Stacy live-action film actress?Yes 55% · No 45% · $15.3K Vol.
- Lecornu out as French PM by when?No 84% · Yes 17% · $29.9K Vol.
- Oscars 2027: Best Actress WinnerJulianne Moore 76% · Inde Navarrette 16% · $139.9K Vol.
- Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?South Korea 7% · Israel 7% · $318.3K Vol.
- LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Yes 88% · No 12% · $58.6K Vol.
- Bitcoin all time high by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $1.9M Vol.
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 9?Up 54% · Down 46% · $52.5 Vol.
- Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?Ricardo Ruiz Velasco 7% · Juan Reyes Mejía González 7% · $163.6K Vol.
- #1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?Dolly Parton 60% · Hayden Panettiere 17% · $122.4K Vol.
- Fed rate cut by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $459.1K Vol.
- Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?Yes 78% · No 22% · $5.8K Vol.
- DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit what level by December 31?No 90% · Yes 10% · $3.6K Vol.
- US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No 86% · Yes 14% · $45.7K Vol.
- Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?No 88% · Yes 13% · $18.4K Vol.
- Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNothing 95% · Something 5% · $5.8K Vol.
- Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Belgium 8% · New Zealand 7% · $764.9K Vol.
- Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach what level barrels per day in 2026?1.4m 6% · 2m 2% · $98.8K Vol.
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $41.4K Vol.
- Will Dreamcash launch a token by when?2027 43% · 2026 8% · $26.4K Vol.
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $85.8K Vol.
- Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Elmedin Konaković 12% · Denis Zvizdić 6% · $86.5K Vol.
- Tim Walz charged by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $140.9K Vol.
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by when?No 91% · Yes 10% · $24.8K Vol.
- Kraken IPO by when?No 94% · Yes 6% · $576.7K Vol.
- NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $159.7K Vol.
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $103.2K Vol.
- Will any country leave NATO by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $413.6K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.