Every prediction market — page 20
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $35.4K Vol.
- Pump.fun airdrop by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $200.9K Vol.
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by when?No 89% · Yes 12% · $102.6K Vol.
- Will USDT market cap hit $200B by when?No 74% · Yes 26% · $150.7K Vol.
- When will Bitcoin hit $150k?September 30, 2027 16% · December 31, 2026 1% · $2.9M Vol.
- U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by when?No 92% · Yes 8% · $17.3K Vol.
- Will Abstract launch a token by when?2027 5% · 2026 2% · $442.3K Vol.
- Will Ostium launch a token by when?No 87% · Yes 13% · $263K Vol.
- Will MetaMask launch a token by when?No 95% · Yes 6% · $339.7K Vol.
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $15.4K Vol.
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by when?No 94% · Yes 6% · $90.3K Vol.
- Will prjx launch a token by when?2027 17% · 2026 6% · $86.7K Vol.
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $41.4K Vol.
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 95% · Yes 6% · $367.9K Vol.
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $320.6K Vol.
- Consensys IPO by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $171.9K Vol.
- Will Argentina dollarize by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $20.2K Vol.
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by when?No 94% · Yes 6% · $138.3K Vol.
- How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?1-100 74% · 10k-25k 6% · $225.8K Vol.
- Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $17.6K Vol.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $168.8K Vol.
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $131.4K Vol.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $489.1K Vol.
- Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $36.3K Vol.
- Obama arrested before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $31.7K Vol.
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $28.4K Vol.
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No 95% · Yes 5% · $186.9K Vol.
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No 80% · Yes 20% · $74.2K Vol.
- Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?No 94% · Yes 6% · $23.3K Vol.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $165.8K Vol.
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $316.4K Vol.
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $20.8K Vol.
- How many people will Trump deport in 2026?300-400k 9% · 700-800k 2% · $58.7K Vol.
- Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $87.7K Vol.
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above what level?$1B 5% · $2B 5% · $337K Vol.
- Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $70.1K Vol.
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 72% · Yes 28% · $124.3K Vol.
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 99% · Yes 1% · $206.5K Vol.
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 95% · Yes 5% · $41.8K Vol.
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $262.5K Vol.
- Will Spark launch a token by when?Yes 55% · No 46% · $27.1K Vol.
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 89% · Yes 11% · $125.5K Vol.
- China coup attempt by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $168.5K Vol.
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $215.7K Vol.
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $34.3K Vol.
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin by when?No 74% · Yes 27% · $22.7K Vol.
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by when?No 90% · Yes 11% · $15.1K Vol.
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Andy Jassy out as Amazon 6% · Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase 5% · $305.8K Vol.
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No 95% · Yes 5% · $17.9K Vol.
- Will Ventuals launch a token by when?No 98% · Yes 3% · $26.9K Vol.
- What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?No 96% · Yes 5% · $15.2K Vol.
- Will Tempo launch a token by when?2027 19% · 2026 1% · $202.5K Vol.
- Ventuals FDV above what level one day after launch?$300M 3% · $100M 2% · $51.5K Vol.
- Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $199.3K Vol.
- Makina FDV above what level one day after launch?No 95% · Yes 5% · $17.5K Vol.
- Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?No 75% · Yes 25% · $20.6K Vol.
- Will fomo.family launch a token by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $210.5K Vol.
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $47.1K Vol.
- Tim Walz charged by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $140.9K Vol.
- Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No 99% · Yes 2% · $181K Vol.
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $839.3K Vol.
- Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?No 99% · Yes 1% · $28.9K Vol.
- What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?No 94% · Yes 7% · $17.7K Vol.
- Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than how many ETH before 2027?No 86% · Yes 14% · $31.8K Vol.
- Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?No 95% · Yes 5% · $21.6K Vol.
- Will Daylight launch a token by when?2027 40% · 2026 6% · $71.7K Vol.
- Somaliland Parliamentary Election WinnerYes 96% · No 4% · $98.7K Vol.
- Ethereum all time high by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $694.9K Vol.
- XRP all time high by when?No 99% · Yes 1% · $24K Vol.
- Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $90K Vol.
- Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $37.8K Vol.
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $190.1K Vol.
- Will Nansen launch a token by when?2027 19% · 2026 3% · $108.6K Vol.
- Will Loopscale launch a token by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $102.8K Vol.
- Will Oro launch a token by when?2027 43% · 2026 10% · $86.9K Vol.
- Will Perena launch a token by when?No 91% · Yes 10% · $36K Vol.
- Will Tim Walz resign by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $70.1K Vol.
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by when?No 94% · Yes 7% · $98.6K Vol.
- Ukraine coup attempt by when?No 96% · Yes 4% · $154.8K Vol.
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No 95% · Yes 5% · $148.5K Vol.
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 97% · Yes 3% · $352.9K Vol.
- Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?Manel Kape 3% · Alexandre Pantoja 1% · $165.3K Vol.
- Ukraine peace referendum passed by when?June 30, 2027 8% · December 31, 2026 4% · $77K Vol.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by when?No 99% · Yes 1% · $30.5K Vol.
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by when?No 98% · Yes 2% · $123.4K Vol.
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding how many BTC by December 31, 2026?No 99% · Yes 1% · $360.5K Vol.
- Perena FDV above what level one day after launch?No 68% · Yes 33% · $24.3K Vol.
- Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?No 86% · Yes 14% · $289.3K Vol.
- Will Rabby launch a token by when?2027 28% · 2026 6% · $88.8K Vol.
- Will Phantom launch a token by when?2027 22% · 2026 5% · $67K Vol.
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $221.9K Vol.
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?between 14 and 16 67% · between 17 and 19 27% · $1M Vol.
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 98% · Yes 2% · $144.4K Vol.
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher… 48% · exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher… 45% · $1.2M Vol.
- Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday 97% · Dune 3 3% · $56K Vol.
- Tim Walz in jail by when?No 100% · Yes 0% · $27.2K Vol.
- 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $120.8K Vol.
- Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?No 99% · Yes 1% · $32.2K Vol.
- Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?Joshua Van 96% · Amir Albazi 0% · $1.2M Vol.
- Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?No 93% · Yes 7% · $567.9K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.