Every prediction market — page 21
The complete index of live markets on Papermarkets, with the odds each one is trading at. Every question here is tradable with simulated money.
- Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?47 or fewer 39% · exactly 48 16% · $3.1M Vol.
- ECB Interest Rates: December 2026Yes 76% · No 24% · $15.7K Vol.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No 82% · Yes 18% · $497.3K Vol.
- Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by when?No 88% · Yes 13% · $63.1K Vol.
- Massachusetts Senate Election WinnerYes 98% · No 2% · $35.9K Vol.
- Michoacán Governor Election WinnerNo 89% · Yes 11% · $15.8K Vol.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 91% · Yes 10% · $1.8M Vol.
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 92% · Yes 9% · $473K Vol.
- Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?no qualifying US-Iran senior… 59% · next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting… 18% · $98.8K Vol.
- Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by when?December 31, 2028 23% · December 31, 2027 18% · $660.6K Vol.
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 87% · No 14% · $80.6K Vol.
- 2026 Harris County Judge Election WinnerYes 86% · No 14% · $22.2K Vol.
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?5.0% 5% · 5.5% 2% · $563K Vol.
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No 61% · Yes 40% · $51.9K Vol.
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 96% · Yes 4% · $840.3K Vol.
- China Annual Inflation 2026between 0.6% and 1.0% 44% · between 1.1% and 1.5% 28% · $64.9K Vol.
- Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes 93% · No 7% · $27.5K Vol.
- NM-01 House Election WinnerDemocratic 96% · Republican 2% · $44.5K Vol.
- ID-01 House Election WinnerRepublican 96% · Democratic 3% · $48.6K Vol.
- Will Russia capture Vodianske by when?No 68% · Yes 33% · $88.5K Vol.
- FL-25 House Election WinnerNo 75% · Yes 26% · $21.5K Vol.
- Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?55% 43% · 60% 24% · $69.7K Vol.
- Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?Yes 69% · No 32% · $52.3K Vol.
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No 59% · Yes 41% · $475.4K Vol.
- Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?not endorse a Party 85% · endorse Likud 13% · $42.2K Vol.
- NM-02 House Election WinnerDemocratic 96% · Republican 3% · $66.4K Vol.
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by when?2029 19% · 2028 16% · $295.7K Vol.
- John Fetterman out by when?No 97% · Yes 3% · $39.2K Vol.
- FL-20 House Election WinnerDemocratic 98% · Republican 1% · $42.9K Vol.
- Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No 80% · Yes 20% · $58.7K Vol.
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026"Earrings – Malcom Todd" 72% · Man I Need – Olivia Dean 15% · $81.1K Vol.
- VA-01 House Election WinnerDemocratic 56% · Republican 45% · $64.5K Vol.
- What price will Zcash hit in 2026?dip to $700 37% · reach $2000 36% · $140.7K Vol.
- Levante UD vs. Athletic ClubAthletic Club win 44% · Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a… 31% · $205.9K Vol.
- Next Romania PM appointed by when?Yes 88% · No 12% · $25.9K Vol.
- Who will be arrested before 2027?John Brennan 21% · Tom Homan 10% · $436.7K Vol.
- Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?No 59% · Yes 42% · $30K Vol.
- Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?OpenAI 13% · Meta 9% · $82.8K Vol.
- Kaohsiung Mayor Election WinnerLai Jui-lung 75% · Ko Chih-en 26% · $61.9K Vol.
- The Game Awards: Game of the YearYes 67% · No 34% · $40K Vol.
- Brazil Annual Inflation 20265.00% and 5.49% 49% · 4.50% and 4.99% 35% · $111.1K Vol.
- IL-01 House Election WinnerDemocratic 97% · Republican 3% · $59.8K Vol.
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026Yes 56% · No 45% · $45.2K Vol.
- MLB: 2026 AL MVPYordan Alvarez 95% · Cal Raleigh 0% · $1M Vol.
- Will Russia capture Svitle by when?No 89% · Yes 11% · $41.8K Vol.
- UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $117.9K Vol.
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?Yes 55% · No 46% · $17.8K Vol.
- Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?Islam Makhachev 93% · Shavkat Rakhmonov 0% · $619.5K Vol.
- Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No 66% · Yes 35% · $15.6K Vol.
- Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?No 57% · Yes 43% · $443.1 Vol.
- Felix FDV above what level one day after launch?$25M 14% · $50M 7% · $357.2K Vol.
- Insurrection Act invoked by when?No 87% · Yes 13% · $171.9K Vol.
- Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by when?December 9% · October 4% · $45.3K Vol.
- Unit FDV above what level one day after launch?$200M 47% · $400M 32% · $210.1K Vol.
- Guerrero Governor Election WinnerBeatriz Mojica Morga 83% · Esthela Damián Peralta 3% · $50.9K Vol.
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase 7% · Sundar Pichai out as Google 5% · $300.6K Vol.
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?$1.75T and $2.00T 44% · $2.00T and $2.25T 39% · $75K Vol.
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by when?No 69% · Yes 31% · $24.4K Vol.
- OH-12 House Election WinnerRepublican 95% · Democratic 4% · $39.7K Vol.
- Top US Spotify Artist 2026Drake 82% · Kendrick Lamar 1% · $106.6K Vol.
- Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by when?No 95% · Yes 5% · $532.2K Vol.
- New Hampshire Senate Election WinnerDemocrats 90% · Republicans 11% · $320.1K Vol.
- Lecornu out as French PM by when?No 80% · Yes 21% · $23K Vol.
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 98% · Yes 2% · $226.2K Vol.
- Fed rate cut by when?December 3% · October 1% · $619.3K Vol.
- Mexico Annual Inflation 20264.00% and 4.49% 33% · 3.00% and 3.49% 13% · $49.9K Vol.
- Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?45% 93% · 55% 28% · $102.2K Vol.
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No 92% · Yes 8% · $55.1K Vol.
- Will Drake release a new album by when?No 83% · Yes 18% · $37.9K Vol.
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 91% · No 9% · $171.8K Vol.
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?No 81% · Yes 20% · $16.6K Vol.
- Will Reya launch a token by when?2027 84% · 2026 36% · $45.3K Vol.
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 85% · Yes 16% · $313.1K Vol.
- Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Donald Brodie 28% · Ryan Salame 13% · $408.3K Vol.
- Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 56% · $60 44% · $103.9K Vol.
- AL-04 House Election WinnerRepublican 98% · Democratic 1% · $38.8K Vol.
- New pandemic in 2026?No 96% · Yes 5% · $1.2M Vol.
- AL-07 House Election WinnerDemocratic 98% · Republican 1% · $93.8K Vol.
- PA-07 House Election WinnerYes 86% · No 14% · $25.9K Vol.
- Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?no company 73% · Anthropic be the first company to 13% · $63.4K Vol.
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 69% · Yes 32% · $468.4K Vol.
- Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?No 93% · Yes 8% · $33.7K Vol.
- OPEC dissolves in 2026?No 98% · Yes 2% · $42.3K Vol.
- Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes 66% · No 35% · $42.5K Vol.
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 78% · No 22% · $332.6K Vol.
- Tlaxcala Governor Election WinnerAna Lilia Rivera Rivera 58% · Alfonso Sánchez García 6% · $47.5K Vol.
- CA-14 House Election WinnerDemocratic 99% · Republican 0% · $43.1K Vol.
- South Dakota Senate Election WinnerYes 93% · No 7% · $31.5K Vol.
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 97% · Yes 3% · $10.9M Vol.
- Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes 83% · No 18% · $22K Vol.
- TN-04 House Election WinnerRepublican 96% · Democratic 0% · $90.4K Vol.
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 87% · Yes 13% · $247.2K Vol.
- F1: Action of the YearKimi Antonelli 25% · Fernando Alonso 2% · $167.8K Vol.
- What price will Ethena hit in 2026?reach $0.32 30% · dip to $0.04 14% · $158.1K Vol.
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 96% · Yes 4% · $1.4M Vol.
- Israeli airspace closed by when? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 21% · October 8% · $281.2K Vol.
- Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerYes 92% · No 9% · $15.8K Vol.
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes 70% · No 31% · $107K Vol.
- India Annual Inflation 2026at least 4.50% 97% · between 3.75% and 4.49% 1% · $87.1K Vol.
- Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by when?December 35% · October 9% · $42.2K Vol.
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New to prediction markets?
A price here is a probability: 62¢ means the market puts the outcome at roughly 62%. The guide to paper trading these markets walks through reading one, taking a side and checking the result. If you came from a real book, there is a shorter version on practising with Polymarket’s odds, and a comparison of the free prediction market simulators if you are still choosing one.
Everything below trades with simulated money. When you want a scoreboard, run a game against your own group over the same questions, or browse the full market directory.